Not a “science-based” comment, and admittedly not a data researcher, but wouldn’t the imposed isolation and lockdowns have increased the “intimacy opportunities” for couples, and to a degree potentially skewed the data of 2020-22 compared to the past decades as more folks were perhaps (intentionally or not) becoming pregnant?
I agree that the effect of lockdowns gets convoluted with the effect of vaccines . Until we have data that is coded by vaccination status, it will remain ambiguous. But I tried to separate the two in that 2020 was the year of the lockdown, and that affected 2021 birth rates, while 2021 was the year of the vaccine, and that affected 2022 birth rates.
Not a “science-based” comment, and admittedly not a data researcher, but wouldn’t the imposed isolation and lockdowns have increased the “intimacy opportunities” for couples, and to a degree potentially skewed the data of 2020-22 compared to the past decades as more folks were perhaps (intentionally or not) becoming pregnant?
I agree that the effect of lockdowns gets convoluted with the effect of vaccines . Until we have data that is coded by vaccination status, it will remain ambiguous. But I tried to separate the two in that 2020 was the year of the lockdown, and that affected 2021 birth rates, while 2021 was the year of the vaccine, and that affected 2022 birth rates.
Thanks for clarifying. And for the work you are doing sorting through this mess.
My reading of the tea leaves is that the mal-effects of this poison are proximal to the jab. Things return close to baseline as time passes.